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BBN > Romania > Economy > The Decline of Public Sector Employees: Ciolacu’s Government Records Lowest Average Monthly Growth Since 2017, Previously Held by Cîțu’s Administration
RomaniaEconomy

The Decline of Public Sector Employees: Ciolacu’s Government Records Lowest Average Monthly Growth Since 2017, Previously Held by Cîțu’s Administration

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Last updated: 02/08/2024 06:34
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Public Sector Employment Declines in June

In June, the public sector witnessed a reduction of 777 positions, bringing the total number of occupied roles to approximately 1.293 million, as reported by Profit.ro. When compared to the end of the previous year, there is a net increase of only 975 positions. This change comes after a first half of 2024 characterized by four months of declines (January, February, March, and June) contrasted with two months of growth (April and May).

Monthly Growth Trends Under Ciolacu’s Government

Data analyzed by Profit.ro indicates that the average monthly increase in public sector positions during Prime Minister Ciolacu’s administration has decreased to 756 roles as of June. This total reflects an increase of 9,825 positions over a span of 13 months. This marks a decline from the end of May, when the average monthly growth was recorded at 884 positions.

Efficiency in Business Registrations

Additionally, the Director of the Trade Register has stated that if documents for limited liability companies (SRL) or sole proprietorships (PFA) are submitted online by midnight, the business can be officially registered by the following afternoon.

Ciolacu Government’s Performance

As a result, the Ciolacu administration is emerging as the government with the most effective oversight of public sector employment trends.

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Growth of Public Sector Employment in Romania

Since at least January 2017, there has been an ongoing analysis of the evolution of public sector employment in Romania, focusing on the number of positions filled under various government mandates. Until recently, the highest growth in public sector jobs was attributed to the Cîțu government. Currently, the mandate of Prime Minister Ciolacu is still in progress.

Key Developments Under Ciolacu’s Mandate

During Ciolacu’s leadership, significant increases in public sector employment have been observed in areas such as Education, local government offices, and the Ministry of Defense. Conversely, there have been notable reductions in staffing within the Ministry of Internal Affairs and healthcare facilities under local authority networks.

Challenges of Public Sector Growth

While achieving better control over the growth of the public sector compared to previous administrations is commendable, it does not address the underlying issues of an inefficient and oversized public system. Over the past decade, the number of public employees has been on a consistent rise, irrespective of the government in power.

Recent Financial Developments

In related news, the National Agency for Fiscal Administration (ANAF) reported record revenues in July, successfully recovering from a decline noted in June.

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Budgetary Developments and Government Staffing Trends Since 2017

In recent years, the staffing levels within Romania’s budgetary apparatus have shown significant changes under different governments. As of now, the government led by Marcel Ciolacu has seen an increase of approximately 9,825 positions over a span of 13 months, averaging around 756 new positions added each month.

In comparison, the previous government under Nicolae Ciucă experienced a larger growth, with an additional 24,899 positions over an 18-month period, translating to an average of 1,383 new positions monthly. This trend of staffing increases is not new; the government of Florin Cîțu also contributed to this growth with an addition of 9,186 positions within 11 months, averaging 835 new positions per month.

Looking back further, the Orban I and II administrations collectively added 13,835 positions across 14 months, which averages out to about 988 new posts each month. Meanwhile, the governments of Sorin Grindeanu, Mihai Tudose, and Viorica Dăncilă collectively saw an increase of 45,423 positions over 34 months, averaging 1,336 new positions per month.

The Significance of Staffing Trends

The current staffing levels in the budgetary sector are nearing the critical threshold of 1.3 million occupied positions. Historically, the public sector has surpassed the 1.3 million mark, reaching a peak of 1.398 million in 2008. However, the harsh adjustments during the financial crisis of 2009-2010, which were part of the conditions for loans from the International Monetary Fund (such as a hiring freeze where one new hire was allowed for every seven departures), led to a significant reduction in staffing, bringing the total down to 1.266 million by 2010.

Understanding these trends is crucial for assessing the future of public sector employment and its implications for economic stability and government operations in Romania.

Public Sector Employment Trends

The year 2014 marked a significant low point in public sector employment, with approximately 1.18 million individuals working as civil servants. Since then, there has been a steady increase in the number of positions within this sector.

Understanding Employment Dynamics

It is crucial to note that while the growth in filled positions reflects the size of the public workforce, it does not accurately depict the total number of new hires in the public sector. The actual hiring figures are considerably higher, as they account for replacements due to retirements, resignations, and other departures, leading to an overall rise in the total number of filled positions.

Current Public Sector Employment Statistics

As of June, the largest employers in the public sector are primarily found in education and healthcare. The education sector alone employs 376,734 individuals, with the Ministry of Education accounting for 302,395 of these positions. Additionally, there are 69,868 staff members working in state higher education institutions and 4,471 in pre-university education.

In the healthcare sector, a total of 244,874 individuals are employed, with the Ministry of Health employing 18,201. Furthermore, 80,651 personnel work in healthcare facilities funded by the National Health Fund.

Financial Regulations Impacting Employment

It is also important to mention that financial regulations are impacting the operations of those in debt to the state. Daily transaction limits for these individuals will be determined based on their outstanding debts, further influencing the public sector’s operational landscape.

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Overview of Local Authority Employment Changes

In the recent reports regarding local authorities, various sectors have shown significant fluctuations in staffing numbers. The police and gendarmerie, under the Ministry of Internal Affairs, have employed a total of 123,806 individuals, while the defense sector accounts for 73,783 positions. Furthermore, financial institutions, including ANAF, customs, and the Ministry of Finance, have a workforce of 24,700.

Key Changes from June Compared to May

Notable alterations in employment figures from June include a rise of 544 positions within healthcare facilities funded by the National Health Fund (FNUASS). Additionally, 247 new positions have been added in local health authority units. Conversely, the Ministry of Defense has seen a decrease of 912 positions, and the Ministry of Internal Affairs (police and gendarmerie) has experienced a reduction of 288 roles.

Government Employment Trends

As of June 15, 2023, the Ciolacu Government has seen an overall increase of 9,825 positions within the public sector. Data available for the Ciolacu administration extends until the end of June 2024. Notably, June 2023 has been fully included in the calculations for this government, even though it officially took office on June 15. This inclusion provides a slight advantage in terms of monthly averages, as the growth in occupied positions for June, compared to May, was only 490—a relatively modest increase.

Longitudinal Employment Data

Over the course of the 13-month period—from the end of May 2023 to the end of June 2024—the employment landscape will continue to be monitored closely to assess the trends and shifts across various sectors.

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Increase in Public Sector Employment

According to calculations by Profit.ro, the number of occupied positions in the public sector rose by 9,825, which translates to an average monthly increase of 756 jobs. As of June 2024, the total stands at 1,293,534, up from 1,283,709 in May 2023.

Government Leadership and Employment Growth

Under the leadership of Prime Minister Nicolae Ciucă, from November 25, 2021, to June 13, 2023, the coalition government formed by PNL, PSD, and UDMR saw an increase of 24,899 positions. This calculation considers the period until the end of May 2023, excluding the 13 days of June when Ciucă was still in charge.

Impact of Global Events on Employment

Since 2022, hiring within the public sector has been notably affected by the decisions made in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Over the course of these 18 months, the number of occupied positions surged by 24,899, averaging 1,383 new employees each month, as per Profit.ro’s analysis.

Current Employment Figures

The statistics for occupied positions indicate that as of May 2023, there were 1,283,709 roles filled, compared to 1,258,810 in November 2021.

Government Stance on Taxation Proposals

In related news, the Cîțu government has expressed its non-support for the PNL initiative aimed at preserving the “flat tax rate” until 2033.

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Changes in Public Sector Employment in Romania

Between December 23, 2020, and November 25, 2021, the coalition government comprising PNL, USR, and UDMR saw an increase of 9,186 positions in the public sector. This marks an average growth of 835 positions per month during the 11 months of leadership under Florin Cîțu.

As of November 2021, the total number of occupied positions reached 1,258,810, compared to 1,249,624 in December 2020.

Employment Growth Under Orban’s Administration

During the tenure of Prime Minister Ludovic Orban, spanning from November 4, 2019, to December 23, 2020, there was a notable increase of 13,835 positions in the public administration. This resulted in an average monthly growth of 988 positions over the 14 months of his government.

At the end of December 2020, the number of occupied positions stood at 1,249,624, an increase from 1,235,789 in October 2019.

Significant Rise in Employment During PSD Governance

From January 4, 2017, to November 4, 2019, the government led by PSD, ALDE, and UDMR, under the leadership of Sorin Grindeanu, Mihai Tudose, and Viorica Dăncilă, experienced a substantial rise in public sector employment. Over nearly three years, the number of public employees increased by 45,423, averaging 1,336 new positions each month.

“`

Employment Figures Overview

As of October 2019, the total number of jobs held reached 1,235,789. This marks a significant increase compared to the employment statistics from December 2016, which recorded 1,190,366 positions. The growth in employment over this period reflects various economic factors and labor market dynamics.

Analysis of Job Growth

The increase of approximately 45,423 jobs from December 2016 to October 2019 indicates a positive trend in the labor market. Several elements contribute to this upward trajectory, including economic expansion, increased business investments, and shifts in workforce demographics.

Implications for the Future

Understanding these employment trends is crucial for forecasting future job market conditions. Continuous monitoring and analysis will help in devising strategies to sustain job growth and address any potential challenges that may arise in the economy.

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